Masa Terbaik Untuk Membeli Emas

BILAKAH MASA TERBAIK UNTUK MEMBELI EMAS

"September has been the strongest month of the year for gold and gold stock price advances in seventeen out of the past twenty-one years."

Selepas Ramadhan terdapat 3 perayaan besar yang akan berlangsung:

• Diwali
• Krismas
• Tahun Baru Cina

Ini akan sedikit sebanyak mempengaruhi harga emas sedunia.

Perayaan besar = Demand bagi emas meningkat = Harga emas meningkat

Selama 4 dekad,bulan September merupakan bulan terbaik untuk memulakan pelaburan emas dan perdagangan.

Mengikut arus dan carta untuk spot gold.

Kebiasaannya,bulan Semptember,harga emas akan meningkat sebanyak 2.5% daripada harga pada bulan Ogos.

Semenjak 1989,harga emas melonjak setiap bulan Semptember selama 17 kali daripada 21.

Nisbah terbaik bagi ramalan dan jangkaan harga emas. 

Nisbah/Ratio:17/21

 Pada Semptember 2009,harga emas melonjak  6% , lebih dari terma jangka-sederhana.

 

 

Bulan September merupakan bulan terbaik bagi saham emas apabila dianalisi oleh NYSE Arca Gold Miners Index (GDM)

Sejurus selepas bulan-bulan lemah,Jun dan Julai,harga emas akan manghadapi kenaikan pada bulan Ogos dan terjah naik ke 8.3% pada bulan September

Pada September 2009,harga emas melonjak sebanyak 14.5%.

Semenjak 1993,nilai emas GDM telah melonjak sebanyak 12 kali pada bulan September dan 5 kali penurunan

Nisbah/Ratio:12/17 

From a recent bottom of $1,157 per ounce in late July, spot gold had risen more than 4 percent through mid-afternoon on August 6 and the TSX/S&P Global Gold Index had gained more than 6 percent.

 

"Bank of America-Merrill Lynch recently called for $1,300 gold by October-November 2010 as a result of the seasonal demand, and the gold watchers at CIBC World Markets in Toronto see $1,400 gold next year due to strong investment demand and inadequate supply response."

 

"Given the current economic weakness, CIBC pointed out that during the Great Recession, "gold was one of the only investment classes that provided positive returns. This fact will not be forgotten if the next recession materializes."

 

"Based on the long-term record, this may be a good time for investors to consider establishing or adding to a gold or gold-stock position in advance of seasonal demand growth. Historical patterns may be a useful guide and improve the chances for investment success, but of course, there are no guarantees that the fall of 2010 will follow the well-established trend."

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Source: Mineweb